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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of 
low pressure located about 400 miles south-southeast of Socorro 
Island.  However, the system still lacks a well-defined center, as 
recent satellite imagery indicates the low-level circulation remains 
broad and displaced well east of the thunderstorm activity.  The 
disturbance still has the potential to become a short-lived tropical 
depression today before environmental conditions become less 
favorable for development by tonight.  The system is forecast to 
move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of 
hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, 
and Guatemala in a day or two.  Environmental conditions appear 
favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression 
could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly 
northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart/Blake




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