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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Eta, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure 
system located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores has 
increased and become better organized during the past several hours. 
Satellite-derived wind data earlier this morning suggested that the 
system had not yet become distinct from a frontal boundary in the 
area, however, it will likely become non-frontal soon. The satellite 
data also indicated that the system is already producing gale-force 
winds. Additional development is expected, and a tropical or 
subtropical storm will likely form during the next day or two while 
the system moves eastward or east-northeastward over the 
northeastern Atlantic Ocean. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A tropical wave is forecast to move over the central Caribbean Sea, 
where an area of low pressure could form in a couple of days. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression could form late this week 
or over the weekend while the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Additional information on the central Atlantic gale area can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Zelinsky




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