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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Paulette, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, 
on Hurricane Sally, centered over the north-central Gulf of Mexico, 
on Tropical Storm Teddy, located over the central tropical 
Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Vicky, located over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic. 

1. A broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is 
producing limited shower or thunderstorm activity.  Any development 
of this system should be slow to occur while the low meanders over 
the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure, 
located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde 
Islands, gradually continue to become better organized. 
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far 
northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles northeast of the 
Azores.  This system is forecast to move south-southeastward during 
the next few days where it will encounter warmer oceanic 
temperatures, which could allow the low to gradually acquire some 
tropical or subtropical characteristics this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts




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