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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Paulette, located over the western Atlantic, on Tropical Depression 
Rene, located over the central Atlantic, on Tropical Storm Sally, 
centered over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical 
Depression Twenty, located over the east-central tropical Atlantic. 

1. A weak area of low pressure over the west-central Gulf of Mexico 
continues to produce limited shower activity.  Any development of 
this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves 
southwestward and then southward at 5 to 10 mph over the western 
Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles 
west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an 
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are 
conducive for a short-lived tropical depression to form on Monday 
while the low moves north-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Development 
is not expected by Tuesday when the system is forecast to encounter 
strong upper-level winds and move over colder waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on 
Monday.  Some slow development of the system is possible by the 
middle or late part of the week as the wave moves westward at about 
10 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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