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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast 
of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better 
defined.  However, the associated showers and thunderstorms are 
still not well organized.  Gradual development of this system is 
expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on 
Monday while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the 
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located just 
off the coast of western Africa. Environmental conditions 
are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is 
expected to form within the next couple of days while it moves 
generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests 
in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system 
as gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall is likely there Monday 
night and Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development, if 
any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or 
two while it moves westward across the central and western 
Caribbean Sea.  After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds 
should limit its formation chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

4. A trough of low pressure located just southeast of Bermuda is 
producing disorganized cloudiness and showers.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible during the next several days 
while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi




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