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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Josephine, located just over a hundred miles north-northeast 
of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Kyle, located 
several hundred miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

1. A fast-moving tropical wave located over the central tropical 
Atlantic several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is 
producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
This system is expected to move westward at about 20 mph during the 
next few days, and that fast speed is likely to limit development 
while the system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward 
Islands today and Monday and moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea 
on Tuesday.  After that time, the system is expected to move more 
slowly westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea, and 
upper-level winds could be conducive for development during the 
middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Another tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa is producing a 
large area of cloudiness and showers.  This wave is forecast to 
move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and some 
development will be possible by the middle to latter part of the 
week as environmental conditions become more conducive while the 
system is over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Berg




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