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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Aug 15 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure is located several hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The 
associated showers and thunderstorms have not become any better 
organized during the past several hours, however, environmental 
conditions are favorable for the system to become a tropical 
depression later tonight or on Sunday while it moves generally 
northwestward.  Development is not expected after that time as the 
system is forecast to move over cooler waters and into a drier 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system 
located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec are showing signs of organization.  Although this low is 
still broad and elongated, environmental conditions appear conducive 
for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical 
storm will likely form on Sunday.  This system is expected to move 
generally west-northwestward, well offshore the southwestern coast 
of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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