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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 13 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Ten-E, located about 1450 miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A surface trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a large 
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the southwestern 
coast of Mexico.  Even though this system has been slow to 
organize, environmental conditions are still conducive for 
development before it reaches cooler waters over the weekend, and a 
tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of 
days.  This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 
15 mph away from the west-central coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A trough of low pressure is located just offshore the Pacific 
coast of Central America.  Conditions are expected to be conducive 
for a low to develop from this trough over the next few days, and 
and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early 
next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward 
just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under 
WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Berg




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