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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, 
and this system could become a tropical depression during the next 
few days while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip 
of the Baja California peninsula, have changed little in 
organization since yesterday.  Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a 
tropical depression could form during the next two to three days 
while the disturbance moves westward.  After that time, cooler 
waters are likely to inhibit further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

3. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
coast of Mexico in a couple of days.  Development is expected to 
occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical 
depression by late this week as the disturbance moves 
west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

4. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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