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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 AM EDT Sun May 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for 
tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

1. Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, centered inland over 
southeastern Guatemala, is forecast weaken into a remnant low or 
dissipate over Guatemala or southeastern Mexico by tonight.  
However, the remnants of Amanda are expected to move northwestward 
within a broader area of disturbed weather, possibly emerging over 
the southeastern Bay of Campeche on Monday.  If the remnants  move 
back over water, environmental conditions appear conducive to 
support some redevelopment of the system while it moves little 
through the middle of this week.  Regardless of redevelopment, heavy 
rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico 
during the next few days. For additional information on the 
rainfall threat, see products from your national meteorological 
service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be by 3 PM 
EDT today, or earlier if necessary. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Brown/Brennan




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