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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
830 AM EDT Thu May 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential 
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

1. An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the Straits of 
Florida is forecast to spread northeastward during the next day or 
two. Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for  
development, and this system is likely to become a tropical or 
subtropical depression or storm this weekend when it is located near 
or north of the northwestern Bahamas. The system is forecast to 
move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic early next 
week. Regardless of development, the disturbance is expected to 
bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of 
southeastern Florida and the central and northwestern Bahamas over 
the next couple of days. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook 
on this system will be issued by 3 PM EDT today, or earlier, if 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown

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