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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 14 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the coast of El Salvador is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Gradual development is likely, and a tropical
depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while
the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just
offshore the coast of Guatemala and southern Mexico.  By late this
week, proximity to land could inhibit further development.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across
Costa Rica, Nicaragua and Honduras is forecast to spread westward
over El Salvador and Guatemala tonight and Tuesday, and into
southern Mexico by Wednesday.  These rains could cause flooding and
mudslides, especially in mountainous areas.  Interests along the
coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system in case tropical cyclone warnings are required for
portions of theses areas later tonight or on Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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