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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 24 2019
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Tropical Storm Kiko, which has moved into the central Pacific basin.
The next advisory will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center at 5 PM HST.
1. A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing limited showers and
thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not
expected while it moves northward at 5 to 10 mph through Wednesday
and then becomes absorbed within a larger trough on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
2. A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles
south-southwest of southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Some development of this system is possible later this week while
it moves slowly northward or northeastward. This system is
likely to be absorbed over the weekend by a larger system that is
expected to develop near the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
3. An elongated surface trough is expected to form within a couple of
hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico during the next
several days. An area of low pressure is likely to form along this
trough, and it could become a tropical depression over the weekend
while moving slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories
issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center under AWIPS header
HFOTCPCP4, WMO header WTPA34 PHFO. Products will continue to be
available on the web at hurricanes.gov