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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Sep 14 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A weak area of low pressure centered about 500 miles south-southwest
of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is possible,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore
the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Another broad area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles
south of the coast of Guatemala.  This system is producing a more
concentrated but also disorganized area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle
of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or
parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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