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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur.

1. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days as it moves
slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. By early next week,
proximity to another low pressure system could limit further
development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized.
However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by early next week while it moves west-
northwestward off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. A tropical wave near Central America is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers.  While development of this system is
possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from
a system to the northwest could prevent significant organization.
The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake




List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
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List of Atlantic Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)