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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur.

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a tropical wave
located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward across the tropical eastern
Pacific. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure
system could limit further development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized.
However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while it moves west-
northwestward off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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