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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Daniel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Development of this system
is not expected before it merges with a low pressure area
approaching from the southeast in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure area located
about 600 miles south of eastern Mexico has become better organized
during the last 24 hours.   Additional development is forecast, and
a tropical depression is expected to form later this week while the
system moves generally west-northwestward, well south of the coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. A tropical wave over the southwestern Caribbean Sea should move into
the eastern Pacific tonight or Tuesday.  Gradual development of this
system is expected as it moves westward away from Central America,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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