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NHC Graphical Outlook Archive

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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

1100 AM PDT WED OCT 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Extensive but disorganized shower activity continues in association
with an elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south and southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Upper-level winds
are favorable for development, and a gradual consolidation of this
system into a tropical depression is possible over the next couple
of days as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward.
Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, shower
activity is likely to spread toward and across the southwestern
coast of Mexico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

Forecaster Franklin

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