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NHC Graphical Outlook Archive

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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

200 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite data indicate that the low pressure system located about
350 miles north-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has
become a little better defined.  This system is interacting
with an upper-level low and is producing showers and thunderstorms
mainly to the north and east of the center.  Environmental
conditions appear generally conducive for development, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next day or
so while the system moves northwestward or north-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

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