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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 19 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific:
A surface trough located a couple of hundred miles southwest of 
Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form by the latter 
portion of this week as it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema