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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure located a couple hundred miles 
south-southwest of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Little development is expected during the next 
couple of days while the system meanders well offshore.  
Environmental conditions appear more conducive for development 
during the latter half of the week, and a tropical depression could 
form while the system drifts northward then northwestward near or 
just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Hagen