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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 20 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of the Baja California Peninsula (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished in association with 
an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.  The system is moving 
into an unfavorable environment, and development is no longer 
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south 
of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a persistent but 
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are favorable for continued development, and a tropical 
depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next 
couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, 
roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.  
The system could produce some locally heavy rain along portions of 
the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico through Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Forecaster Hagen