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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 23 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the 
coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form during the next few days while it moves generally 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well off the coast of 
Mexico. This system is expected to move into less favorable 
conditions to develop around the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Beven