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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 7 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity in association with an area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is limited this 
morning. The system is moving west-northward into less favorable 
environmental conditions, and its chance of development is 
decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles offshore of 
southwestern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are 
expected to be marginally conducive for development, and while some 
tropical development is possible, it is becoming less likely as the 
low pressure area moves generally west-northwestward well off the 
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Forecaster Kelly