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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 11 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Near the coast of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec southwestward for a few hundred miles are associated 
with a surface trough and Julia's remnants.  Development, if any, 
of this system is likely to be slow to occur due to dry air aloft 
and marginal upper-level winds. This system is forecast to move 
westward to west-northwestward, near the coast of southern Mexico, 
through the end of the week. Regardless of development, heavy 
rainfall could cause flash flooding across portions of southern 
Mexico during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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