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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 14 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
A low pressure system located a few hundred miles southwest of 
Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce showers and thunderstorms, 
mainly to the west of its center of circulation.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple 
of days while meandering southwest of the southwestern coast of 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Near the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of 
hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with a 
trough of low pressure.  Development of this system is possible 
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form 
before reaching the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico, and 
possibly moving inland, over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. 

Forecaster Berg

List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
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List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)