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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Aug 2 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Frank, located about 700 miles southwest 
of San Diego, California, and is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Georgette, located about 1400 miles west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms over Central America and the adjacent waters.  The 
wave is expected to move over the eastern Pacific waters on 
Wednesday, and an area of low pressure is forecast to form a few 
hundred miles south of southern Mexico in a couple of days. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual 
development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
by this weekend and move west-northwestward, remaining well 
offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Well Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
later this week. Some gradual development of this system is 
possible by the end of this week while it moves westward over the 
open waters of the eastern Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Berg/Bucci

List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2019 - present)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)