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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Oct 4 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Marie, located in the western region of the basin.

1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little during the past 
several hours in association with an elongated area of low pressure 
located several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of 
Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional 
development, and a tropical depression could form during the next 
few days while it moves slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure could form south-southeast of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec early next week. Gradual development of this system is 
possible thereafter while it drifts northward offshore of the 
coasts of Mexico and Guatemala.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

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