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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 21 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Genevieve, located a couple hundred miles 
west of the central Baja California peninsula.

1. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and 
thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move generally 
eastward for the next couple of days. Conditions appear favorable 
for gradual development and a tropical depression is likely to form 
during the early to middle part of next week when the system is 
expected to slow down and meander off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Another area of low pressure is likely to form south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec early next week.  A tropical depression could form by 
the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward 
or northward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

For additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Genevieve, 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and 
on the web at

Forecaster Zelinsky

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