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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 19 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system located less than 200 miles south of the
southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of
cloudiness of thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during
the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward at about
10 mph, parallel to and just offshore of the coast of Mexico.
Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy
rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala
and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Another low pressure system located more than 900 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive
for development by mid-week, and a tropical depression is likely
to form during the next few days while the system moves westward
to west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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