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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 15 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1600 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is producing a small area of disorganized showers. Environmental
conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of
this system while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coasts of
El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico over the weekend.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of the low while it moves slowly westward early next
week.  Regardless of development, moisture associated with this
system is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible
flash flooding across portions of Central America through early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky/Hagen

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