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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jul 27 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the disturbance
located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula is already producing tropical-storm-force winds
in gusts while a low-level center appears to be forming. If it
becomes apparent that a center has formed, advisories will be
initiated later this morning.  This system is expected to move
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. An area of low pressure accompanied by disturbed weather is located
a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while the system moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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