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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 27 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area located about
600 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is becoming better
defined, and environmental conditions support further development.
If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
tropical depression later today or tonight while the system moves
generally west-northwestward away from Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
eastern Pacific Ocean south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated
with a westward-moving tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system over
the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form
well south of the coast of Mexico over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. Yet another tropical wave is forecast to move into the far eastern
Pacific in a few days.  Environmental conditions should support
some development early next week south of Central America while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake

List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2019 - present)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)