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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula is associated with a weak area of low pressure.
Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur
during the next couple of days while it moves westward at around 15
mph. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane
season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for
the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are
15, 8, and 4, respectively.
The list of names for 2016 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
Agatha A-guh-thuh Madeline MAD-eh-luhn
Blas blahs Newton NOO-tuhn
Celia SEEL-yuh Orlene or-LEEN
Darby DAR-bee Paine payne
Estelle eh-STELL Roslyn RAWZ-luhn
Frank frank Seymour SEE-mor
Georgette jor-JET Tina TEE-nuh
Howard HOW-urd Virgil VUR-jill
Ivette ee-VET Winifred WIN-ih-fred
Javier hahv-YAIR Xavier ZAY-vee-ur
Kay kay Yolanda yo-LAHN-da
Lester LESS-tur Zeke zeek
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4
AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5.
All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our east
Pacific Twitter feed is available at