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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Jerry, located in the central Tropical Atlantic.

1. Southwestern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure located over the Yucatan Peninsula is 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
This system is expected to emerge over the Bay of Campeche later 
today, and some slow development is possible before it moves inland 
over southern Mexico late Wednesday or early Thursday.  Regardless 
of development, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely 
across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and southern 
Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry are issued under WMO 
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry are issued under WMO 
header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.


Forecaster Roth/Bann