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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

1. Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues 
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form late this 
week or over the weekend while it moves near or the north of the 
northern Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
A tropical wave located just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands 
continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity while it 
moves westward at about 15 mph.  A short-lived tropical depression 
could form during the next day or two before environmental 
conditions before unfavorable for further development late this 
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Blake