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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Erin, located several hundred miles east of the northern 
Leeward Islands.

1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has persisted in association with a 
disturbance located about 75 miles off the coast of northeastern 
Mexico or southern Texas coastline.  The system could become a 
short-lived tropical depression before it moves inland this 
afternoon or evening.  Regardless of development, locally heavy 
rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and 
southern Texas over the next couple of days, and interests there 
should monitor the progress of this system. Another Air Force 
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the 
system later this morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Bucci