ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Erin, located east of the Leeward Islands.

1. Southwestern Gulf (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with 
an area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche. The low is 
forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf 
during the next day or so, where environmental conditions are 
marginally conducive for further development.  A tropical depression 
could form before this system moves inland over northeastern Mexico 
or southern Texas by late Friday ending its chances for tropical 
development.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is 
possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas 
over the next few days.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter is en 
route to investigate this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Bucci