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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea 
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the 
next day or two while the system moves slowly westward into the 
western Caribbean Sea.  Afterward, further development is likely 
while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea 
through the weekend.  The system is expected to turn slowly 
northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and 
northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this 
system.  Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over 
Jamaica and the Cayman Islands during the next day or so. For more 
information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force 
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system 
tomorrow morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Kelly