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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea 
continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days 
while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean 
Sea.  Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance 
meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend.  The 
system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week. 
Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should 
monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of development, 
heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Kelly