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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Rafael, located just southeast of Little Cayman Island.

1. Southwestern Atlantic:
An elongated trough of low pressure is producing disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles east-northeast of 
the Leeward Islands.  A portion of this system is forecast to begin 
moving westward by early Wednesday, and an area of low pressure 
could form near the northern Leeward Islands by Wednesday night.  
Afterward, some slow development of this system is possible during 
the latter part of the week while it moves generally westward, 
passing near or north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on 
Thursday, and approaching the Southeast Bahamas by Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Hagen