ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sun Nov 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical 
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean just east 
of the Azores Islands.

1. Western Caribbean Sea (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a low pressure system over the south-central 
Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to become a tropical 
depression during the next day or two as it moves generally 
northward toward Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba. Interests in 
those locations should monitor the progress of this system as 
tropical storm watches or warnings could be required later today or 
tonight. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible 
across Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba during the next few days. An 
Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating this 
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Near the Southeastern Bahamas:
A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the southeastern Bahamas 
and adjacent waters. Slow development of this system is possible 
during the next day or so while it moves westward toward Cuba and 
the Bahamas. This system is expected to be absorbed into the low 
pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late Monday, ending 
its chances of development. Regardless of formation, locally heavy 
rains are possible during the next couple of days across the Greater 
Antilles and the Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of disturbed weather is expected to develop near the 
northern Leeward Islands around the middle of the week.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible after that time as it moves 
generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi