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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical 
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the 
Azores Islands.

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure over 
the southwestern Caribbean Sea remains disorganized at this time. 
Gradual development of this system is still expected, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it 
moves generally northward to northwestward over the central and 
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy 
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the 
western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. 
Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress 
of this system. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled 
to investigate this system on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Near the Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure just north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola 
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and 
gusty winds. Slow development of this system is possible during the 
day or two while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. By 
early next week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low 
pressure area over the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, 
locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days 
across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, 
eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO 
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO 
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Beven