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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical 
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
A broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea 
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual 
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves 
generally northward to northwestward over the central and western 
Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are 
possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western 
Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the 
western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. An 
Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this 
system on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Near the Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure just north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola 
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and 
gusty winds. Slow development of this system is possible during the 
day or two while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. By 
early next week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low 
pressure area over the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, 
locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days 
across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, 
eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued 
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are 
issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header 
MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Cangialosi