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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so.  Gradual 
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system 
drifts generally northward or northwestward over the central or 
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy 
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the 
western Caribbean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico is producing a 
large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Greater 
Antilles and the adjacent waters of the Atlantic and the 
northeastern Caribbean. Slow development of this system is possible 
during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near the 
Greater Antilles.  After that time, this system is expected to be 
absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean.  Regardless 
of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next 
several days from the northern Leeward Islands westward across 
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to eastern Cuba and the southeastern 
Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. North Atlantic:
A low pressure system located a few hundred miles west of the Azores 
has been producing increased convection near its center over the 
past few hours. Earlier satellite derived wind data depicted winds 
to storm-force mainly to the south of the the center.  
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some additional 
development and the system could become a subtropical or tropical 
storm as it moves generally eastward during the next few days. 
Interest in the Azores should monitor the progress of this system. 
Additional information on this system is available in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Kelly