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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on 
Hurricane Milton, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico. 

1. Southwestern Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical 
low pressure system located northeast of the northwestern Bahamas 
continue to become better organized.  Although environmental 
conditions appear only marginally favorable for additional 
development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could form 
today or this evening while the low moves northeastward to 
east-northeastward at around 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast 
to increase later tonight, which should limit any chances for 
further development.  Additional information on this system, 
including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued 
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in 
the next couple of days.  Afterward, environmental conditions appear 
only marginally favorable for some limited development of this 
system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the 
eastern tropical Atlantic and through the Cabo Verde Islands late 
Thursday into Friday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online 
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Roberts