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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on 
Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic 
Ocean.

1. Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the western Gulf 
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. A broad area 
of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern or 
south-central Gulf of Mexico this weekend, and thereafter some 
gradual development is possible while the low moves slowly eastward 
or northeastward. A tropical or subtropical depression or storm 
could form during the early to middle part of next week if the low 
remains separate from a frontal boundary that is forecast to extend 
across the Gulf of Mexico next week. Regardless of tropical or 
subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over 
portions of Mexico during the next few days and over portions of the 
Florida Peninsula late this weekend into next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Beven