ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on 
newly-developed Tropical Depression Thirteen, located over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure is producing disorganized areas of 
showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and 
the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions could 
support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression could form over the weekend as the broader disturbance 
moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf 
Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system. 
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over 
portions of Mexico during the next several days and over portions 
of the Florida Peninsula by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen are issued under 
WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Thirteen are issued under 
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

Forecaster Beven