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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Helene, located inland over the southern Appalachians, 
on Hurricane Isaac, located over the central Subtropical Atlantic 
Ocean, and on recently-formed Tropical Storm Joyce, located over 
the central Tropical Atlantic Ocean.

1. Western Caribbean:
An area of low pressure could form over the western Caribbean Sea by 
the middle of next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be 
conducive for slow development thereafter while the system moves 
generally northwestward, potentially entering the Gulf of Mexico by 
the end of next week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development 
thereafter while the system moves generally northwestward at 10 to 
15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO 
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Joyce are issued under WMO 
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster Bucci/Rosado