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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Helene, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

1. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad low pressure system associated with a tropical wave located 
west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized 
shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear 
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward 
to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Central Subtropical Atlantic: 
A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located several 
hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda. Earlier satellite-wind 
data indicated the system was producing winds up to storm-force, and 
environmental conditions could support some subtropical or tropical 
development over the next several days as the system moves generally 
eastward, remaining over the open waters of central Subtropical 
Atlantic. Additional information on this system, including storm 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Papin